77th Golden Globe Awards 2020 Predictions

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Golden Globe Awards!!!

With the start of a New Year (and a new decade) means the start of a new Awards Season, featuring some amazing and fantastic performances and works of art by actors, directors and artists across the board in the film and television mediums across many genres. JAKKAWI Studios predicts who will win (and should win) in each category presented at this year’s Golden Globe Awards presented by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (“HFPA”) [Sunday, NBC, 8 p.m. ET/5 PT] hosted by British comedian Ricky Gervias, hosting for a record fifth time.

FILM CATEGORIES

BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

'The Irishman'
The Irishman; photo courtesy of Netflix
  • 1917
  • The Irishman
  • Joker
  • Marriage Story
  • The Two Popes

Who Will Win: The Irishman; three of the five nominees in this category are Netflix dramas which may or may not appease HFPA voters (although they themselves nominated them). Joker has been shown to be divisive; Marriage Story auteur Noah Baumbach, and The Two Popes director Fernando Meirelles were not nominated for Best Director which might mean the films were highlighted for their respective stories versus their overall prowess as a film. 1917 arrived too late in the game and won’t reach mass audiences until later this month. The Irishman is a film that reads like an epic storytelling course in Scorseseosity and is the definition of a film that the HFPA loves to reward.

Who Should Win: Marriage Story OR 1917; the category is… Drama! And what is more fitting for drama than a love and divorce story like Marriage Story? It is truly a masterpiece in a near-perfect film in regards to its script, acting and pure craft; but 1917 is also a worthy alternative for voters who are feeling more traditional in their voting and wanting to reward a true cinematic masterpiece.

BEST MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

'Once Upon a Time in Hollywood'
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood; photo courtesy of Andrew Cooper/Sony Pictures
  • Dolemite is My Name
  • Jojo Rabbit
  • Knives Out
  • Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  • Rocketman

Who Will Win: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood; the Quentin Tarantino ode to Classic Hollywood is truly the definition of an American film unlike any other film this year and its invested with so much inventiveness and the film improves in detail with every repeated viewing of this soon to be Tarantino classic.

Who Should Win: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood OR Knives Out OR Jojo Rabbit; I know it is in unfair to say that almost every film nominated in this category should win but it was truly a great year for comedic films in Hollywood. Aside from the classic that is Tarantino’s film, Knives Out is a refreshing auteur’s take on the classic murder mystery genre that is both modern and intelligent in its writing and execution and is probably one of the most witty and fun films of the year. Taika Waititi’s Jojo Rabbit is a masterclass in satire bringing a modern, yet period-appropriate loony and tender-hearted take on very controversial themes wrapped up in an interesting adaptation of a famed children’s book.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

'Toy Story 4'
Toy Story 4; photo courtesy of Disney/Pixar
  • Frozen 2
  • How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
  • The Lion King
  • Missing Link
  • Toy Story 4

Who Will Win: Toy Story 4; as much as I would expect the HFPA to award The Lion King in this category, it’s animation feels like a stretch (although it is definitely a technical marvel of CG-live action blending) but it was emotionally hollow and quite joyless. Missing Link is the only original film in this category but it does not have much going for it against DreamWorks’ How to Train Your Dragon finale and two Disney sequels. Toy Story 4 has been more critically acclaimed than Frozen 2 so expect the former to go home with the Globe.

Who Should Win: Toy Story 4; was the story and writing the strongest? Not necessarily. Did we need a fourth Toy Story film – not really! But, if you really pay attention to the detail in the animation of this $1Billion Club member then you really know that nothing else tops the animation style of Pixar.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

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“Parasite”; photo courtesy of IndieWire and NEON
  • The Farewell (USA)
  • Les Miserables (France)
  • Pain and Glory (Spain)
  • Parasite (South Korea)
  • Portrait of a Lady on Fire (France)

Who Will Win: Parasite; due to HFPA rules, although The Farewell is an American-made film and features dialogue in English, the guidelines forced it to be nominated in the foreign language category which won’t really help it here. Parasite has been an award’s contender since the film premiered at Cannes last May and will definitely take home the award especially since it’s the buzziest and most talked about title among all of these.

Who Should Win: Honestly any of these films – this year was another strong year for foreign language and international films across the world.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

Joaquin Phoenix inJoker;Photo courtesy of EW and Niko Tavernise/Warner Bros.
  • Christian Bale – Ford v Ferrari as Ken Miles
  • Antonio Banderas – Pain and Glory as Salvador Mallo
  • Adam Driver – Marriage Story as Charlie Barber
  • Joaquin Phoenix – Joker as Arthur Fleck/Joker
  • Jonathan Pryce – The Two Popes as Cardinal Jorge Mario Bergoglio

Who Will Win: Joaquin Phoenix, Joker; Phoenix lost the weight (~50 pounds) and gained all the crazy and psychological thrill to bring to life one of the comic book industry’s most infamous villains; he brings all the heartbreak, suspense and pizzazz to a performance that otherwise could have been seen as over-the-top but he is able to find the humility and humanity in a character so deeply flawed that audiences globally swarmed theaters.

Who Should Win: Phoenix OR Adam Driver, Marriage Story; Driver has a good year, appearing on the credits of multiple films across multiple genres (from indie to blockbuster) but his most defining work this year is in the Baumbach love/divorce story that really allows him to shine. He disappears into the role of Charlie Barber so well that you forget that he is that sex freak from the HBO show “Girls” or galaxy star Kylo Ryen in the Star Wars universe. What really grounded his work in the film is not his separation from his ex-wife (played by a formidable Scarlett Johansson) but by the separation of his son.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

Renee Zellweger in Judy; Photo courtesy of EW and LD Entertainment/Roadside Attractions
  • Cynthia Erivo – Harriet as Harriet Tubman
  • Scarlett Johansson – Marriage Story as Nicole Barber
  • Saoirse Ronan – Little Women as Josephine “Jo” March
  • Charlize Theron – Bombshell as Megyn Kelly
  • Renee Zellweger – Judy as Judy Garland

Who Will Win: Renee Zellweger, Judy; the HFPA loves movie stars and Charlize Theron and Scarlett Johansson are definitely the category’s biggest. But as the past has shown us, the members of the prestigious journalist organization love music-centric performances and comeback stories and among the nominees, Renee Zellweger fits best in this category.

Who Should Win: Renee Zellweger, Judy; do not get me wrong… the nominees in this category all did phenomenal work but there is just something about Renee’s radical immersion and transformation as Judy Garland that was just so captivating she is should be the one to beat in this year’s award season race.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Eddie Murphy in 'Dolemite Is My Name'
Eddie Murphy in Dolemite Is My Name; Photo Courtesy of THR and Netflix
  • Daniel Craig – Knives Out as Benoit Blanc
  • Roman Griffin Davis – Jojo Rabbit as Jojo Betzler
  • Leonardo DiCaprio – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood as Rick Dalton
  • Taron Egerton – Rocketman as Elton John
  • Eddie Murphy – Dolemite Is My Name as Rudy Ray Moore

Who Will Win: Eddie Murphy, Dolemite Is My Name; as stated before, the HFPA loves a comeback story and what better comeback than Eddie Murphy’s outrageous and comedic portrayal of famed blaxploitation comedian and director Rudy Ray Moore. It will be a warm welcome back to the Golden Globe winner who last collected a trophy almost 13 years ago for his role in Dreamgirls.

Who Should Win: Eddie Murphy, Dolemite Is My Name; this year’s feature category is definitely a strong contest between three of the showiest contenders: DiCaprio, Egerton and Murphy. All three actors demonstrated great care and comedic substance in their portrayals of real people (DiCaprio’s character is a composite of multiple Golden Age Hollywood archetype actors) with Egerton’s portrayal being the definition of musical, Murphy’s portrayal being the definition of comedy and DiCaprio’s being the definition of Hollywood culture. But out of the three, Murphy definitely was one of the more enjoyable performances to watch, reminding us of his comedic strengths as an artist.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Awkwafina (center) in 'The Farewell'
Awkwafina (center) and cast members of The Farewell; photo courtesy of A24
  • Ana de Armas – Knives Out as Marta Cabrera
  • Awkwafina – The Farewell as Billi Wang
  • Cate Blanchett – Where’d You Go, Bernadette as Bernadette Fox
  • Beanie Feldstein – Booksmart as Molly Davidson
  • Emma Thompson – Late Night as Katherine Newbury

Who Will Win: Awkwafina, The Farewell; if you are not a fan of the comedienne-rapper then you definitely have to go watch Lulu Wang’s indie drama that premiered at Sundance last year. The film is mostly carried by Awkwafina who displays such emotional heft with comedic wit (at times) that just leaves you amazed by the time the credits role around. Plus, the HFPA loves to award contenders that drive the entire film with their offbeat charm.

Who Should Win: Awkwafina, The Farewell OR Ana de Armas, Knives Out; this category feels like it was just a bunch of legacy nods (for Blanchett and Thompson – both very strong in their performances for their respective films) and it’s hard to imagine Beanie Feldstein being nominated with her other half Kaitlyn Dever in the highly underrated Booksmart. Awkwafina, by far, has demonstrated her dramatic chops the strongest in anyone in this category, yet she holds together the film with her comedic wit and timing in the delivery of her lines. Ana de Armas could be a dark horse and I equally respect her for her strong, emotional and stealthily great performance against some of Hollywood’s biggest names in the murder mystery.

BEST SUPPORTING PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE

Brad Pitt in 'Once Upon a Time in Hollywood'
Brad Pitt in Once Upon a Time in Hollywood; photo courtesy of THR and Sony Pictures Entertainment
  • Tom Hanks – A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood as Fred Rogers
  • Anthony Hopkins – The Two Popes as Pope Benedict XVI
  • Al Pacino – The Irishman as Jimmy Hoffa
  • Joe Pesci – The Irishman as Russell Bufalino
  • Brad Pitt – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood as Cliff Booth

Who Will Win: Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood; as much as I would love for either Pesci or Pacino to win for their respective portrayals of real life people in Scorsese’s mafia epic, I fear that their nominations together in this category will cancel them out. Hanks is receiving the Cecil B DeMille Award which is a reward enough (don’t get me wrong… I love my Hanks!). Pitt hijacks every frame and moment that he is on screen and his charisma and charm in the Tarantino film by far is the most respecting.

Who Should Win: Joe Pesci, The Irishman; Pesci’s portrayal of famed mobster Russell Bufalino was truly a masterclass in acting, disappearing in the role and going darker and farther than we have ever witnessed by the acclaimed actor.

BEST SUPPORTING PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE

Jennifer Lopez in 'Hustlers'
Jennifer Lopez in Hustlers; photo courtesy of STX Films
  • Kathy Bates – Richard Jewell as Barbara “Bobi” Jewell
  • Annette Bening – The Report as Dianne Feinstein
  • Laura Dern – Marriage Story as Nora Fanshaw
  • Jennifer Lopez – Hustlers as Ramona Vega
  • Margot Robbie – Bombshell as Kayla Pospisil

Who Will Win: Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers; all the women nominated in this category are excellent but this is Lopez’s career best performance – a gritty, visually dazzling and gratifyingly humane portrayal of a hustling women that really tugs at the hearts and brings tears of laughter out of all of us.

Who Should Win: Jennifer Lopez, Hustlers OR Laura Dern, Marriage Story; the HFPA loves Laura Dern and Marriage Story and you can understand why – with a dynamite monologue in defense of the wife in a divorce case that her character is overseeing is truly another defining acting career moment for the four time Miss Golden Globe winner.

BEST DIRECTOR

Bong Joon-Ho
Director Bong Joon-ho; photo courtesy of Getty Images
  • Bong Joon-ho – Parasite
  • Sam Mendes – 1917
  • Todd Phillips – Joker
  • Martin Scorsese – The Irishman
  • Quentin Tarantino – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Who Will Win: Bong Joon-ho, Parasite; this category is stacked with interesting talent across direction of various genres. You have longtime favorite and iconic director Martin Scorsese for his passion project The Irishman. There is Quentin Tarantino for his own passion project about the Golden Age of Hollywood that is exquisite. Joker director, Todd Phillips, uses his comedy helming chops to direct an interesting psychological character study on a famed comic book villain; Sam Mendes brings his keen eye to an epic war tale made to look like one action take of a film; but above all, famed South Korean director Bong Joon-ho brings his thrilling dark comedy talent to life in his critically acclaimed dark comedy Parasite that brings together themes of social class disparity, greed and wealth and class warfare in an interesting and impacting two hour film. Will he become the first South Korean director to take home a Golden Globe in this category? Yes.

Who Should Win: Bong Joon-ho, Parasite; see above.

BEST SCREENPLAY

'Marriage Story'
Marriage Story, photo courtesy of Netflix
  • Noah Baumbach – Marriage Story
  • Bong Joon-ho and Han Jin-won – Parasite
  • Anthony McCarten – The Two Popes
  • Quentin Tarantino – Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
  • Steven Zaillian – The Irishman

Who Will Win: Noah Baumbach, Marriage Story; any of the nominees in this category – especially Marriage Story, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood, and Parasite – seem like a plausible winner for their strong, genre-defying scripts. Yet, unlike the other four scripts, Baumbach was not nominated for directing and I believe that voters will want to honor him in this category.

Who Should Win: Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood; two of the strongest scripts in this category (in my opinion) are Tarantino’s ode to Hollywood’s Golden Age that is the most original and vibrant and McCarten’s The Two Popes which boasts the best dialogue.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

'1917'
1917; photo courtesy of Francois Duhamel/Universal Pictures
  • Alexandre Desplat – Little Women
  • Hildur Guonadottir – Joker
  • Randy Newman – Marriage Story
  • Thomas Newman – 1917
  • Daniel Pemberton – Motherless Brooklyn

Who Will Win: Thomas Newman, 1917; Alexandre Desplat’s work is always phenomenal but Thomas Newman carried a much heavier load and duty in helping sustain the dramatic intensity and breathtaking one-shot sweep of Sam Mendes’ war epic. It is one of the most memorable scores the prolific veteran as created. At the end of the day, this category is going to be the battle of the Newman brothers.

Who Should Win: Thomas Newman, 1917 OR Hildur Guonadottir, Joker; Guonadottir’s haunting score elevated the DC comic film as well as inspired everyone the Joker team (from cast and crew) in designing and creating such a dark and twisted psychological tale.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

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Taron Egerton in Rocketman; photo courtesy of THR
  • “Beautiful Ghosts” (Taylor Swift, Andrew Lloyd Webber) – Cats
  • “(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again” (Elton John, Bernie Taupin) – Rocketman
  • “Into the Unknown” (Kristen Anderson-Lopez, Robert Lopez) – Frozen II
  • “Spirit” (Beyonce, Timothy McKenzie, Ilya Salmanzadeh) – The Lion King
  • “Stand Up” (Joshua Brian Campbell, Cynthia Erivo) – Harriet

Who Will Win: “(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again” by Elton John & Bernie Taupin for Rocketman; this year’s category is battle of the global pop stars and the HFPA loves big names but Beyonce and Taylor Swift’s entries underwhelmed. “Into the Unknown” is sort of like a second “Let It Go” (although the Globes famously snubbed it back in 2014) and I don’t expect them to award it this time around. As much as I would love for “Stand Up” from the Harriet Tubman biopic to win, I expect the HFPA to award Elton and Bernie – and besides it will be a chance to get the prolific writers and artists on the stage together.

Who Should Win: “Stand Up” by Joshua Brian Campbell & Cynthia Erivo for Harriet; if you have not fallen in love with Cynthia Erivo then prepare to do so! After having a strong two years appearing in multiple films across various genres, winning a Tony for her part in the Broadway revival of The Color Purple and appearing next in the third season of National Geographic’s Genius series as Aretha Franklin, Erivo is a powerhouse not to be messed with. Her song written with Joshua Brian Campbell that represents the themes and moods of the Harriet Tubman biopic is beautifully sung, written and composed and is a crying call for all to truly stand up for what they believe in.

TELEVISION CATEGORIES

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA

The Crown; photo courtesy of Des Willie/Netflix
  • Big Little Lies (HBO)
  • The Crown (Netflix)
  • Killing Eve (BBC America)
  • The Morning Show (Apple TV)
  • Succession (HBO)

Who Will Win: The Crown (Netflix) OR The Morning Show (Apple TV); HBO’s Big Little Lies dominated the Globes when it was eligible last and BBC America’s Killing Eve is a strong player albeit not many people watch it. The Morning Show is a shiny, star-heavy new TV show and from one Hollywood’s newest streaming services and I have a feeling the HFPA will want to acknowledge that and give Apple their first Globe. But The Crown is a strong favorite and with an all new cast portraying the various real-life people, it feels like a new show altogether which could definitely boost its chances.

Who Should Win: Succession (HBO); this should be the defining moment allows HBO’s Succession to be recognized as television’s must scathing, and best acted drama (although it’s actually a dark comedy).

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

'Fleabag'
Fleabag; photo courtesy of Amazon
  • Barry (HBO)
  • Fleabag (Amazon)
  • The Kominsky Method (Netflix)
  • The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon)
  • The Politician (Netflix)

Who Will Win: Fleabag (Amazon); rookie nominees tend to win in this category (see past winners Crazy Ex-Girlfriend, Mozart in the Jungle, Casual) that other organizations don’t tend to reward. In that case, the only rookie is Ryan Murphy’s first Netflix original The Politician but I do not think it has what it takes to beat Phoebe Waller-Bridge’s expertly crafted romantic, spiritual uncertainty and hilarious discomfort that is Fleabag. In many ways, it feels like a rookie nominee as the first season failed to garner much awards recognition albeit receiving critical acclaim.

Who Should Win: Fleabag; I mean besides being a nominee that originates outside America, everyone (including the Internet) has fallen in love with Hot Priest and Fleabag.

BEST MINISERIES OR TELEVISION FILM

'Unbelievable'
Unbelievable; photo courtesy of Beth Dubber/Netflix
  • Catch-22 (Hulu)
  • Chernobyl (HBO)
  • Fosse/Verdon (FX)
  • The Loudest Voice (Showtime)
  • Unbelievable (Netflix)

Who Will Win: Unbelievable (Netflix);Chernobyl and Unbelievable have four noms each, as many as any show (one for this category and three separate ones for acting); Fosse/Verdon as three. Chernobyl swept the Emmys back in September and the HFPA does not like to follow (as has been historically shown), so I bet that more HFPA will decide to award the more recently released Netflix show. Do not be surprised if the Showtime miniseries is an upset win…

Who Should Win: Unbelievable; the Golden Globes failed to nominate When They See Us which would have been the favorite heard but instead you got the mediocrity that is The Loudest Voice and the mediocre satire of Catch-22. Both Chernobyl and Unbelievable were two of the strongest and best limited series released this year and with either one I would be happy. Unbelievable is fresher in my head than is the HBO disaster drama. 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA

Billy Porter in 'Pose'
Billy Porter in Pose; photo courtesy of JoJo Whilden/FX
  • Brian Cox – Succession as Logan Roy (HBO)
  • Kit Harington – Game of Thrones as Jon Snow (HBO)
  • Rami Malek – Mr. Robot as Elliot Anderson (USA)
  • Tobias Menzies – The Crown as Prince Philip, Duke of Edinburgh (Netflix)
  • Billy Porter – Pose as Pray Tell (FX)

Who Will Win: Billy Porter, Pose (FX); 2020 Golden Globes wisdom says that this category will come down to either Brian Cox or Billy Porter, the latter winning the Emmy in this category last fall. Porter is having a moment right now as well as being one of the few people of color nominated in a conspicuously white field this year and Globe voters will more than likely align with Emmy voters in rewarding him for his show stopping, emotionally deft performance as Pray Tell.

Who Should Win: Billy Porter, Pose (FX) OR Brian Cox, Succession (HBO); I LOVE Billy Porter and everything that he does but I also highly respect Brian Cox’s portrayal of the Roy patriarch in the Murdoch-satire HBO hit that is very well-acted and written for an actor of his caliber.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA

Olivia Colman in 'The Crown'
Olivia Colman in The Crown; photo courtesy of Sophie Mutevelian/Netflix
  • Jennifer Aniston – The Morning Show as Alex Levy (Apple TV)
  • Olivia Colman – The Crown as Queen Elizabeth II (Netflix)
  • Jodie Comer – Killing Eve as Oksana Astankova/Villanelle (BBC America)
  • Nicole Kidman – Big Little Lies as Celeste Wright (HBO)
  • Reese Witherspoon – The Morning Show as Bradley Jackson (Apple TV)

Who Will Win: Jennifer Aniston, The Morning Show (Apple TV); no matter how bad you thought Apple TV’s debut show was, Aniston’s performance is an undeniable triumph for the actress. And clearly the HFPA has taken notice of The Morning Show and showing great favor for it (it got four nominations) that it would be surprising if it did not at least take one award home. With that said, Olivia Colman is another Globes favorite and with the Oscars upset in 2019, she’s undoubtedly without an edge here.

Who Should Win: Olivia Colman, The Crown (Netflix); already a winner in both the film (for last year’s The Favourite, where she also portrayed a Queen albeit a different and outrageous one) and television (AMC’s “The Night Manager”), Colman had to take the reigns from Claire Foy to portray Queen Elizabeth II in Netflix’s dazzling hit show The Crown. Although she is continuing the role, she makes it her own with her subtle and immersive performance as the royal monarch.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

Bill Hader in 'Barry'
Bill Hader in Barry; photo courtesy of Aron Epstein/HBO
  • Michael Douglas – The Kominsky Method as Sandy Kominsky (Netflix)
  • Bill Hader – Barry as Barry Berkman/Barry Block (HBO)
  • Ben Platt – The Politician as Payton Hobart (Netflix)
  • Paul Rudd – Living with Yourself as Miles Elliot/Miles Elliot’s Clone (Netflix)
  • Ramy Youssef – Ramy as Ramy Hassan (Hulu)

Who Will Win: Bill Hader, Barry (HBO); Douglas won this category last year and I do not expect a repeat. In fact, I would not be surprised if the Globes give this award to first time nominees Platt, Rudd or Youssef. But SNL alum, Hader’s performance is the strongest amongst the group – a tense battle between the dramatic and comedic genres that walks a fine line allowing the actor to deliver a standout performance in the sophomore season of the hit HBO dark comedy.

Who Should Win: Bill Hader, Barry (HBO); see above.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

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Phoebe Waller-Bridge in Fleabag; photo courtesy of Amazon
  • Christina Applegate – Dead to Me as Jen Harding (Netflix)
  • Rachel Brosnahan – The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel as Miriam “Midge” Maisel (Amazon)
  • Kirsten Dunst – On Becoming a God in Central Florida as Krystal Stubbs (Showtime)
  • Natasha Lyonne – Russian Doll as Nadia Vulvokov (Netflix)
  • Phoebe Waller-Bridge – Fleabag as Fleabag (Amazon)

Who Will Win: Phoebe Waller-Bridge, Fleabag (Amazon); I honestly expect the HFPA to ride the Fleabag bandwagon and award her for her work on the show. Unlike other organizations, the HFPA does not award writing or directing for television programs, so this could also be a way to reward Waller-Bridge for all her work on the hit Amazon show.

Who Should Win: Honestly ALL of them. This category is stacked this year. You have three incredible veteran actresses – Applegate, Dunst and Lyonne – who put their talents to spectacular new levels in their respective series that they all either also produce, write or direct. Brosnahan continues to do stellar work as the truly wonderful Mrs. Maisel and Waller-Bridge is a stand out force in the comedy.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MINISERIES OR TV FILM

Jared Harris in 'Chernobyl'
Jared Harris in Chernobyl; photo courtesy of HBO
  • Christopher Abbott – Catch-22 as Capt. John Yossarian (Hulu)
  • Sacha Baron Cohen – The Spy as Eli Cohen/Kamel Amin Thaabet (Netflix)
  • Russell Crowe – The Loudest Voice as Roger Ailes (Showtime)
  • Jared Harris – Chernobyl as Valery Legasov (HBO)
  • Sam Rockwell – Fosse/Verdon as Bob Fosse (FX)

Who Will Win: Jared Harris, Chernobyl (HBO); Christopher Abbott’s presence in this category feels out of place but not worthy of inclusion over the likes of Jharrel Jerome (When They See Us) and Mahershala Ali (True Detective). Jared Harris is always great in anything he is in (see his small episode arc in season 1 of The Crown), and Russell Crowe was captivating as disgraced Fox News boss Roger Ailes. Sacha Baron Cohen is a surprise nominee in this category albeit some great work for his Netflix miniseries and Sam Rockwell’s performance as famed Broadway director Bob Fosse is excellent albeit the star power is fizzling since the miniseries debut it March of last year.

Who Should Win: Jared Harris, Chernobyl (HBO); there are definitely a lot of quality options in this category, but I expect the HFPA will honor Chernobyl in this category by voting for Jared Harris for his emotionally hefty turn.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MINISERIES OR TELEVISION FILM

Image result for michelle williams fosse/verdon
Michelle Williams in Pose; photo courtesy of Town and Country Magazine
  • Kaitlyn Dever – Unbelievable as Marie Adler (Netflix)
  • Joey King – The Act as Gypsy Rose Blanchard (Hulu)
  • Helen Mirren – Catherine the Great as Catherine the Great (HBO)
  • Merritt Wever – Unbelievable as Det. Karen Duvall (Netflix)
  • Michelle Williams – Fosse/Verdon as Gwen Verdon (FX)

Who Will Win: Michelle Williams, Fosse/Verdon (FX); as much as I would love for Merritt Wever to win this category, I fear that her nomination alongside fellow co-star Kaitlyn Dever in the Netflix miniseries “Unbelievable” will cancel each other out leaving Joey King, who was formidable as real-life figure Gypsy Rose, Helen Mirren as Catherine the Great, where the dame was phenomenal to watch and Michelle Williams, who sings, dances and breaks your heart as Broadway legend Gwen Verdon. Especially, after her heart-warming and call for pay equality speech for this category at the Emmy’s, I am sure the HFPA will reward her.

Who Should Win: Merritt Wever, Unbelievable (Netflix) OR Michelle Williams, Fosse/Verdon (FX); I mean she is a movie star delivering a tour-de-force performance as a Broadway star in a highly pedigreed limited series that was produced, directed and written by some Broadway legends. The Globes voters should definitely honor her! But Merritt Wever’s performance is so good, so subtle and so well-acted that she should take home the prize.

BEST SUPPORTING PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SERIES, MINISERIES OR TELEVISION FILM

Andrew Scott in 'Fleabag'
Andrew Scott in Fleabag; photo courtesy of Steve Schofield/Amazon
  • Alan Arkin – The Kominsky Method as Norman Newlander (Netflix)
  • Kieran Culkin – Succession as Roman Roy (HBO)
  • Andrew Scott – Fleabag as The Priest (Amazon)
  • Stellan Skarsgard – Chernobyl as Boris Shcherbina (HBO)
  • Henry Winkler – Barry as Gene Cousineau (HBO)

Who Will Win: Andrew Scott, Fleabag (Amazon); Arkin, Culkin and Winkler were all nominated last year and none of them won in this category. And I expect they won’t win this year because of Hot Priest. Seriously, I expect the HFPA to ride that “Fleabag” bandwagon and reward Scott who is as equally important this season as Waller-Bridge’s titular character. He steals the season with his charming, bumbling and thoroughly humane portrayal of the priest and I am sure the HFPA will reward his work.

Who Should Win: Andrew Scott, Fleabag (FX)

BEST SUPPORTING PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SERIES, MINISERIES OR TELEVISION FILM

Image result for helena bonham carter the crown
Helena Bonham Carter in The Crown; photo courtesy of Variety/Netflix
  • Patricia Arquette – The Act as Dee Dee Blanchard (Hulu)
  • Helena Bonham Carter – The Crown as Princess Margaret (Netflix)
  • Toni Collette – Unbelievable as Det. Grace Rasmussen
  • Meryl Streep – Big Little Lies as Mary Louise Wright
  • Emily Watson – Chernobyl as Ulana Khomyuk

Who Will Win: Helena Bonham Carter, The Crown (Netflix); Meryl Streep is always a threat (and she always gets nominated); Arquette has already won an Emmy for this role and Watson is a relatively unknown actress outside of the U.K. That leaves The Crown‘s new Margaret who is seeking her first win out of 8 nominations and Collette for her strong turn in the Netflix miniseries although her performance feels more like a lead than a supporting one.

Who Should Win: Helena Bonham Carter, The Crown (Netflix) OR Toni Collette, Unbelievable (Netflix); Watson gives the least exciting performance in this category yet she is so incredibly terrific in Chernobyl; Meryl brought her A-game to HBO’s second season of Big Little Lies which was unnecessary yet welcomed; Arquette is great in anything she is cast in and she’s already won the Emmy; Collette, along with Wever had to deliver enough humor and ease to keep their miniseries from feeling like a chore and I think the fact that the HFPA decided to nominate her in the “supporting” category rather than the “lead” category might hurt her chances although she was phenomenal, restrained and showed great ease in her character. Bonham Carter had the most fun out of anyone in this category and a movie star turned television star is always a great thing to reward.

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