76th Golden Globe Awards 2019 Predictions

With the start of a New Year means the start of a new Awards Season, featuring fantastic performances and works of art by actors, directors and artists across the board in films across many genres. JAKKAWI predicts who will win (and should win) in each category presented at this year’s Golden Globe Awards presented by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (“HFPA”) [Sunday, NBC, 8 p.m. ET/5 PT] hosted by Shondaland alum, Sandra Oh, & SNL alum, Andy Samberg.

 

FILM CATEGORIES

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BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA

  • Black Panther
  • BlacKkKlansman
  • Bohemian Rhapsody
  • If Beale Street Could Talk
  • A Star is Born

Who Will Win: A Star is Born; although the fourth remake of this classic, it has everything that the HFPA usually go for – an actor reinvent himself as a director, a singer reinventing herself as an actress, an updated take on a famed classic, and heck, original music!

Who Should Win: If Beale Street Could Talk; 

BEST MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

  • Crazy Rich Asians
  • The Favourite
  • Green Book
  • Mary Poppins Returns
  • Vice

Who Will Win: The Favourite; I have always been a huge fan of Yorgos Lanthimos’s bizarre work and his most recent outing is no different. The HFPA has constantly showed European movies and shows some love and although Marry Poppins Returns and Crazy Rich Asians are the crowd-pleasers in the category, and Vice was a HFPA favourite (since it received basically every nomination it could get) but it’s recent review embargo showed otherwise.

Who Should Win: The Favourite

BEST PERFORMANCE IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA: ACTOR

  • Bradley Cooper – A Star is Born as Jackson Maine
  • Willem Dafoe – At Eternity’s Gate as Vincent van Gogh
  • Lucas Hedges – Boy Erased as Jared Eamons
  • Rami Malek – Bohemian Rhapsody as Freddie Mercury
  • John David Washington – BlacKkKlansman as Ron Stallworth

Who Will Win: Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody; this race looks like it will come down to Cooper versus Malek, who give two very different musical performances as two very different rock stars. Malek’s performance and take on Freddie Mercury, though, is the kind of performance that the HFPA loves to award.

Who Should Win: Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born; Cooper’s take as a fading alcoholic rock star was a career-defying turn especially in a film in which Cooper directed, produced and wrote. I expect Cooper to have a bit more of an advantage as Award Season goes on.

BEST PERFORMANCE IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA: ACTRESS

  • Glenn Close – The Wife as Joan Castleman
  • Lady Gaga – A Star is Born as Ally Maine
  • Nicole Kidman – Destroyer as Erin Bell
  • Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me? as Lee Israel
  • Rosamund Pike – A Private War as Marie Colvin

Who Will Win: Lady Gaga, A Star is Born; The movie’s title is ironic in the sense that it really birth a star – a star in Lady Gaga and the HFPA will opt to award Gaga’s icon-affirming big-screen debut.

Who Should Win: Glenn Close, The Wife; Close gave another career-defining performance in the less seen The Wife and it would be nice to see the Globes give her a little push toward her first-ever Oscar.

BEST PERFORMANCE IN A MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY: ACTOR

  • Christian Bale – Vice as Dick Cheney
  • Lin-Manuel Miranda – Mary Poppins Returns as Jack
  • Viggo Mortensen – Green Book as Frank “Tony Lip” Vallelonga
  • Robert Redford – The Old Man & the Gun as Forrest Tucker
  • John C. Reilly – Stan & Ollie as Oliver Hardy

Who Will Win: Christian Bale, Vice; although Bale has previously one a Globe for his performance in The Fighter, he tends to be very much loved by the HFPA and his satrical comedic take on the former Vice President (as well as his literal physical transformation) is the type performance that the HFPA loves to award. Redford’s final performance before retirement (but is he retiring?) is also the kind of chance for an organization to award a famed and honorable actor a final time yet over the span of Redford’s 6 decade spanning career, he has only won one Globe – ironically for directing and not acting – only ever been nominated for an acting Globe in 2014.

Who Should Win: Bale OR Robert Redford; The Old Man & The Gun

BEST PERFORMANCE IN A MOTION PICTURE – MUSICAL OR COMEDY: ACTRESS

  • Emily Blunt – Mary Poppins Returns as Mary Poppins
  • Olivia Colman – The Favourite as Queen Anne
  • Elsie Fisher – Eighth Grade as Kayla Day
  • Charlize Theron – Tully as Marlo Moreau
  • Constance Wu – Crazy Rich Asians as Rachel Chu

Who Will Win: Olivia Colman, The Favourite; I have been a huge fan Colman’s since I discovered her work in Phoebe Waller-Bridge’s hilarious play-turned-sitcom Fleabag and her performance in The Favourite solidifies my love for her. This race is between two brits – Blunt and Colman – although the latter has the most Oscar heat and is the beating heart of the one of the most critically acclaimed films of the year.

Who Should Win: Olivia Colman, The Favourite

BEST SUPPORTING PERFORMANCE IN A MOTION PICTURE: ACTOR

  • Mahershala Ali, Green Book
  • Timothee Chalamet, Beautiful Boy
  • Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?
  • Sam Rockwell, Vice
  • Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman

Who Will Win: Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?; Grant is one of those character actors who tends to leave an impression with his movie and TV show appearances, no matter how small or big his roles are. This is his first Globe nomination and he has been the best supporting actor awards season frontrunner for months now and has been already awarded by several critic associations and organizations as well.

Who Should Win: Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

BEST SUPPORTING PERFORMANCE IN A MOTION PICTURE: ACTRESS

  • Amy Adams – Vice
  • Claire Foy – First Man
  • Regina King – If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Emma Stone – The Favourite
  • Rachel Weisz – The Favourite

Who Will Win: Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk; King has the momentum of any of the nominees in this category and and she does with good reason: she does standout work as the Rivers family’s matriarch, even in a film that’s already full of emotionally rich and sensitive performances. Stone and Weisz’s nominations in the supporting category seem a bit out of place seeing as they share equal screen time and importance as Olivia Colman but they were probably nominated in this category as to not compete with her.

Who Should Win: Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk; she was nominated in both movie and TV categories this year and it’s great to see her getting recognized so much for such fine character acting.

BEST DIRECTOR

  • Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born
  • Alfonso Cuaron, Roma
  • Peter Farrelly, Green Book
  • Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman
  • Adam McKay, Vice

Who Will Win: Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born; the only reason why I predict Cooper’s win is because the HFPA loves to award actors turned directors for outstanding work. I expect Cuaron to carry the torch the rest of the way through awards season but due to the discrepency of rules set by the HFPA (only English-language films can compete for Best Motion Picture awards; Cuaron’s Roma is in Spanish and only competing for Best Foreign Language Film) is the only reason why Cuaron doesn’t have the advantage of a win.

Who Should Win: Alfonso Cuaron, Roma

BEST SCREENPLAY

  • Alfonso Cuaron – Roma
  • Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly, Nick Vallelonga – Green Book
  • Deborah Davis & Tony McNamara – The Favorite
  • Barry Jenkins – If Beale Street Could Talk
  • Adam McKay – Vice

Who Will Win: Brian Hayes Currie, Peter Farrelly, Nick Vallelonga – Green Book; while Roma is admired for many reasons, the writing isn’t as frequently as cited as its technical prowess or Alfonso Cuaron’s overall vision. And voters might think that next to the likes of the meta-comical Vice or the witchy bitchiness of The Favourite, Jenkins’ Beale Street isn’t as biting or clever enough. The feel good, warm story, likable plotting and actor-friendly characterizations of Farrelly’s Green Book will most likely win here.

Who Should Win: Deborah Davis & Tony McNamara, The Favourite; I love everything about Lanthimos’ hilarious and well-created world of Queen Anne, I believe a big part of its success is its screenplay and witchy bitchiness.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

  • Marco Beltrami – A Quiet Place
  • Alexandre Desplat – Isle of Dogs
  • Ludwig Goransson – Black Panther
  • Justin Hurwitz – First Man
  • Marc Shaiman – Mary Poppins Returns

Who Will Win: Marc Shaiman, Mary Poppins Returns; the only reason why I predict Shaiman to win for the Disney sequel is that it is unlikely to take home any of the night’s biggest prizes and this could be the one category the HFPA decides to recognize the film.

Who Should Win: Ludwig Goransson, Black Panther; there is so much to love about Black Panther, the cultural behemoth of the year, and one of its greatest attributes is all of its technological achievements including a score that makes it seem like the African diaspora is very much prevalent throughout the world.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

  • “All the Stars” (Kendrick Lamar, SZA, Sounwave, Al Shux) – Black Panther
  • “Girl in the Movies” (Dolly Partin, Linda Perry) – Dumplin’
  • “Requiem for a Private War” (Annie Lennox) – A Private War
  • “Revelation” (Jonsi, Troye Sivan, Leland) – Boy Erased
  • “Shallow” (Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando, Andrew Wyatt) – A Star is Born

Who Will Win: “Shallow,” A Star is Born; This category feels like a shoo-in for A Star is Born which I would characterize as this year’s La La Land. The only upset would be if Kendrick and SZA’s collaborative effort for the Afro-diaspora behemoth won.

Who Should Win: “Shallow,” A Star is Born OR “All the Stars,” Black Panther

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

  • Incredibles 2
  • Isle of Dogs
  • Mirai
  • Ralph Breaks the Internet
  • Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

Who Will Win: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse was a technological achievement in and of itself in the way it was animated and created to look like a moving comic book. In addition to that, its well written and hilarious script added on to its audacious, inventive, heartfelt and funny animated superhero adventure.

Who Should WinSpider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

  • Capernaum (Lebanon)
  • Girl (Belgium)
  • Never Look Away (Germany)
  • Roma (Mexico)
  • Shoplifters (Japan)

Who Will WinRoma (Mexico); as much as I would love for Lebanon’s Capernaum to win, Alfonso Cuaron’s Roma was one of the year’s best films and will rightfully win this category… if only it was nominated for one of the best motion picture categories as well.

Who Should WinRoma (Mexico)

TELEVISION CATEGORIES

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BEST TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA

  • The Americans (FX)
  • Bodyguard (Netflix)
  • Homecoming (Amazon)
  • Killing Eve (BBC America)
  • Pose (FX)

Who Will Win: Killing Eve; the fact that Sandra Oh is hosting the Golden Globes (alongside Andy Samberg) makes me think that the HFPA is already, in a way, awarding the hit BBC America spy thriller, created, written and envisioned by my favorite Brit, Phoebe Waller-Bridge.

Who Should Win: Honestly any of these dramas because they have all reached peak-Golden Age Television with their production.

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – MUSICAL OR COMEDY

  • The Kominsky Method (Netflix)
  • Barry (HBO)
  • The Good Place (NBC)
  • Kidding (Showtime)
  • The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon)

Who Will Win: The Kominsky Method (Netflix); Though the HFPA has a reputation for being unpredictable in all categories (seriously, look up some of the past award shows and see what they’ve chosen to win), best comedy series has, historically, been a place where they plant its flag on the exciting, new and possibly obscure series of the year. If the HFPA was in the mood to shock, they’d select Jim Carrey’s Kidding; they could re-crown The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel once more; but my money is on The Kominsky Method or Barry – both starring and featuring resident veteran Hollywood royalty like Michael Douglas, Alan Arkin and Harry Winkler in their casts.

Who Should WinThe Good Place (NBC); the critically adored NBC sitcom is one of my favorite series on television currently and its genius comedy and story deserve to be recognized.

BEST MINISERIES OR TELEVISION FILM

  • The Alienist (TNT)
  • The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)
  • Escape at Dannemora (Showtime)
  • Sharp Objects (HBO)
  • A Very English Scandal (Amazon)

Who Will WinThe Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX); the FX anthology series, master-minded by Ryan Murphy (a HFPA favorite) has everything to woo the organization: sumptuous set pieces, movie stars doing accents, pulpy eroticism and several Emmys and accolades already under its belt. But it faces stiff competition from Showtime’s Escape at Dannemora which also features many movie stars acting and directing and HBO’s stellar Sharp Objects.

Who Should WinThe Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX) OR Sharp Objects (HBO); both had stellar seasons and wonderful acting with some of the best acting performances in 2018.

BEST PERFORMANCE IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA: ACTOR

  • Jason Bateman – Ozark as Martin “Marty Byrde” (Netflix)
  • Stephan James – Homecoming as Walter Cruz (Amazon)
  • Richard Madden – Bodyguard as Sergeant David Budd (Netflix)
  • Billy Porter – Pose as Pray Tell (FX)
  • Matthew Rhys – The Americans as Philip Jennings (FX)

Who Will Win: Matthew Rhys, The Americans (FX); Emmy winner Rhys may have a lock in this category; his win at the more conservative awards show indicates a broad base of admiration although he might face stiff competition from newcomers Stephan James and Richard Madden, both stellar and fantastic in their respective streaming series (and hits).

Who Should Win: Billy Porter, Pose (FX); Porter’s turn on Ryan Murphy’s ode to the 80’s ball culture is energetic, vulnerable, heart-breaking and powerful and one of the most beautiful performances of the past year… if only it got so much love as it deserves.

BEST PERFORMANCE IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA: ACTRESS

  • Caitriona Balfe – Outlander as Claire Fraser (Starz)
  • Elisabeth Moss – The Handmaid’s Tale as June Osborne/Offred (Hulu)
  • Sandra Oh – Killing Eve as Eve Polastri (BBC America)
  • Julia Roberts – Homecoming as Heidi Bergman (America)
  • Keri Russell – The Americans as Elizabeth Jennings (FX)

Who Will Win: Sandra Oh, Killing Eve (BBC America); Although reigning winner Moss is still a performance heavyweight, the second season of Hulu’s hit series fizzled where it could have popped; Roberts’ performance in the Amazon critical darling and whose sojourn to the small screen is exactly the type of role the Globes love to honor could shine. My money is on Sandra Oh though, for her thrilling, dramatic, powerful yet comedic performance in the BBC America hit.

Who Should Win: Oh OR Julia Roberts, Homecoming (Amazon); as a fan of Sam Esmail and a fan of movie stars turning to TV, Roberts did not disappoint in the freshmen season of the streaming service’s psychological thriller.

BEST PERFORMANCE IN A TELEVISION SERIES – MUSICAL OR COMEDY: ACTOR

  • Sacha Baron Cohen – Who is America? as various characters (Showtime)
  • Jim Carrey – Kidding as Jeff Piccirillo (Showtime)
  • Michael Douglas – The Kominsky Method as Sandy Kominsky (Netflix)
  • Donald Glover – Atlanta as Earnest “Earn” Marks/Teddy Perkins (FX)
  • Bill Hader – Barry as Barry Berkman/Barry Block (HBO)

Who Will Win: Michael Douglas, The Kominsky Method (Netflix); although Douglas seems like the somewhat unpredictable choice, the Hollywood royalty seems to have the slight edge here especially with a critically lauded streaming series. Hader’s got the advantage as well of being the freshest new talent in this particular area, despite his years on SNL.

Who Should Win: Donald Glover, Atlanta (FX); despite his show being snubbed entirely, the HFPA had some sense in nominating Glover for his excellent, multi-hyphenate work on the FX hit. His work in writing and creating and acting in the “Teddy Perkins” episode still haunts me to this day and he deserves the Globe for just that one episode hands down.

BEST PERFORMANCE IN A TELEVISION SERIES – MUSICAL OR COMEDY: ACTRESS

  • Kristen Bell – The Good Place as Eleanor Shellstrop (NBC)
  • Candice Bergen – Murphy Brown as Murphy Brown (CBS)
  • Alison Brie – GLOW as Ruth “Zoya the Destroya” Wilder (Netflix)
  • Rachel Brosnahan – The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel as Miriam “Midge” Maisel (Amazon)
  • Debra Messing – Will & Grace as Grace Adler (NBC)

Who Will Win: Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Amazon); Although the HFPA has been known to not give out repeat prizes in this category, I expect Brosnahan to take home her second Globe for her titular turn in the feminist, sunny/crowd-pleasing Amazon hit.

Who Should Win: Kristen Bell, The Good Place (NBC); Bell has countless bright and entertaining performances in both TV and film over the last decade and a half and it’s great to see the HFPA acknowledge her work in the stellar NBC sitcom and I think she deserves every right to take the Globe home.

BEST PERFORMANCE IN A MINISERIES OR TV FILM: ACTOR

  • Antonio Banderas – Genius: Picasso as Pablo Picasso (Nat Geo)
  • Daniel Bruhl – The Alienist as Dr. Laszlo Kreizler (TNT)
  • Darren Criss – The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story as Andrew Cunanan (FX)
  • Benedict Cumberbatch – Patrick Melrose as Patrick Melrose (Showtime)
  • Hugh Grant – A Very English Scandal as Jeremy Thorpe (Amazon)

Who Will Win: Darren Criss, The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX); this category will be a dog fight between Criss’s showstopping performance and Hugh Grant’s charmingly louche and venal turn as former MP Jeremy Thorpe. Although Criss has more momentum due to his 2018 Emmy win, working against him is the HFPA’s slight European bias. Criss is literally the only American performer nominated in this category amongst three Europeans (two English, one German) and a Spanish actor.

Who Should Win: Darren Criss, The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story; Criss’s performance was hands down the top performance of 2018 for me – his ability to take a damaged, troubled and confused serial killer and create such a vulnerable, memorable and psychotic character out of it was both intriguing and heart-breaking to watch.

BEST PERFORMANCE IN A MINISERIES OR TV FILM: ACTRESS

  • Amy Adams – Sharp Objects as Camille Preaker (HBO)
  • Patricia Arquette – Escape at Dannemora as Tilly Mitchell (Showtime)
  • Connie Britton – Dirty John as Debra Newell (Bravo)
  • Laura Dern – The Tale as Jennifer Fox (HBO)
  • Regina King – Seven Seconds as Latrice Butler (Netflix)

Who Will Win: Amy Adams, Sharp Objects (HBO); Adams was excellent in HBO’s Sharp Objects and the series itself was steamy and illicit enough to deliver a bit of the heady excitement that usually draws the HFPA’s interest. She has also long been an Oscar contender multiple times, which is enough to put her within the golden light of the HFPA’s glow while still retaining a bit of that ingenue appeal especially as a movie star turned TV star.

Who Should Win: Adams OR Patricia Arquette, Escape at Dannemora (Showtime); Arquette’s transformative work in the Showtime, based on a true story, miniseries is award worthy and seeing as Arquette is an awards vet, I wouldn’t be surprised if she wins in this category.

BEST SUPPORTING PERFORMANCE IN A SERIES, MINISERIES, OR TV FILM: ACTOR

  • Alan Arkin – The Kominsky Method as Norman Newlander (Netflix)
  • Kieran Culkin – Succession as Roman Roy (HBO)
  • Edgar Ramirez – The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story as Gianni Versace (FX)
  • Ben Whishaw – A Very English Scandal as Norman Josiffe (Amazon)
  • Henry Winkler – Barry as Gene Cousineau (HBO)

Who Will Win: Henry Winkler, Barry (HBO); Winkler’s narcissistic, scenery-chewing hack of an acting teacher is the type of big performances that the HFPA loves to award. The fact that Winkler is also benefiting from a “comeback” of sorts as well as his Emmy momentum will award Winkler his first Globe since his last Globe win in 1978.

Who Should Win: Alan Arkin, The Kominsky Method (Netflix); Arkin’s turn as a grieving widow in Netflix’s new comedy is a delight to watch since Arkin delivers a memorable performance with wit and vulnerability not seen in some of his other comedic work.

BEST SUPPORTING PERFORMANCE IN A SERIES, MINISERIES, OR TV FILM: ACTRESS

  • Alex Borstein – The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel as Susie Myerson (Amazon)
  • Patricia Clarkson – Sharp Objects as Adora Crellin (HBO)
  • Penelope Cruz – The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story as Donatella Versace (FX)
  • Thandie Newton – Westworld as Maeve Millay (HBO)
  • Yvonne Strahovski – The Handmaid’s Tale as Serena Joy Waterford (Hulu)

Who Will Win: Patricia Clarkson, Sharp Objects (HBO); Clarkson is an acting legend for me and nothing beats her charged performance in the HBO miniseries as the Southern Gothic mama from hell. She is also a movie star and she’s a beloved character actress of a certain age and has never really competed in award shows before. Cruz’s performance is also sitting pretty, having turned in a well-received performance as a bewigged fashion icon and Borstein could possibly win especially with the wide wave of Maisel love that will probably carry over from the Emmys and the HFPA could right their wrong from last year’s nomination snub for her.

Who Should Win: Patricia Clarkson, Sharp Objects (HBO)

 

And with that I leave you to guess and make your own predictions of who will take home the Golden Globe on Sunday night! It’s a great start to the 2019 Award Season and keep a look out for some upcoming predictions for the Screen Actor’s Guild Awards, Grammy Awards and eventually the Academy Awards! Follow my Twitter and Instagram for more!

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